|
The data is presented in 4 quadrants. The values in the lower right quadrant are my predictions for where the Dow Jones Industrial Average will be
every 10 years from now, out until 2107. These conclusions are based on the brief statistical analysis of the historic data, which you see in the
other quadrants.
The 2017 prediction based on historically average performance puts the Dow around 30,768. Anything above that means the markets have performed better than average, anything below that, worse than average. Dow 1 million will be achieved sometime after 2060, and Dow 30 million sometime before 2107. |
| 1957 | 500 | 1954 | 375 | |||||||||
| 1967 | 901 | 1.8 | 1964 | 870 | 2.32 | |||||||
| 1977 | 890 | 0.99 | 1.78 | 1974 | 757 | 0.87 | 2.02 | |||||
| 1987 | 2663 | 2.99 | 2.96 | 5.33 | 1984 | 1115 | 1.47 | 1.28 | 2.97 | |||
| 1997 | 8223 | 3.09 | 9.24 | 9.13 | 1994 | 3764 | 3.38 | 4.97 | 4.33 | |||
| 2007 | 13956 | 1.7 | 5.24 | 15.68 | 2004 | 10139 | 2.69 | 9.09 | 13.39 | |||
| 2.11 | 4.8 | 10.04 | 2.15 | 4.34 | 6.9 | |||||||
| 2017 | 29494.58 | 39502.55 | 26748.44 | 31915.19 | 2014 | 21763.36 | 16341.23 | 7691.06 | 15265.21 | |||
| 2027 | 62333.77 | 67043.36 | 82595.72 | 70657.61 | 2024 | 46715.03 | 44017.98 | 25963.36 | 38898.79 | |||
| 2037 | 131736.03 | 189766.64 | 140180.69 | 153894.45 | 2034 | 100273.77 | 70944.65 | 69936.89 | 80385.1 | |||
| 2047 | 278410.6 | 322070.2 | 268674.01 | 289718.27 | 2044 | 215237.56 | 191101.96 | 53051.45 | 153130.32 | |||
| 2057 | 588392.29 | 911621.7 | 829630.62 | 776548.2 | 2054 | 462007.25 | 308002.79 | 179090.29 | 316366.78 | |||
| 2067 | 1243506.82 | 1547195.96 | 1408041.46 | 1399581.42 | 2064 | 991698.19 | 829660.01 | 482411.38 | 767923.2 | |||
| 2077 | 2628024.28 | 4379347.84 | 2698689.33 | 3235353.81 | 2074 | 2128679.39 | 1337179.35 | 365938.84 | 1277265.86 | |||
| 2087 | 5554060.1 | 7432588.89 | 8333204.03 | 7106617.67 | 2084 | 4569208.63 | 3601929.18 | 1235330.75 | 3135489.52 | |||
| 2097 | 11737937.08 | 21037989.26 | 14143037.26 | 15639654.53 | 2094 | 9807802.71 | 5805300.08 | 3327581.96 | 6313561.59 | |||
| 2107 | 24806927.58 | 35705481.95 | 27106917.42 | 29206442.32 | 2104 | 21052440.79 | 15637602.95 | 2524176.5 | 13071406.74 | |||
| 1950 | 200 | |||||||||||
| 1960 | 670 | 3.35 | ||||||||||
| 1970 | 734 | 1.1 | 3.67 | |||||||||
| 1980 | 935 | 1.27 | 1.4 | 4.68 | ||||||||
| 1990 | 2905 | 3.11 | 3.96 | 4.34 | ||||||||
| 2000 | 10521 | 3.62 | 11.25 | 14.33 | Avg | 10 year | 20 year | 30 year | ||||
| 2.49 | 5.07 | 7.78 | 2.25 | 4.74 | 8.24 | |||||||
| 2010 | 26193.09 | 14725.22 | 9391.58 | 16769.97 | 2017 | 31398.66 | 38961.35 | 21946.51 | 30768.84 | |||
| 2020 | 65210.33 | 53330.15 | 29179.2 | 49239.89 | 2027 | 70641.73 | 66124.85 | 67767.99 | 68178.19 | |||
| 2030 | 162347.67 | 74641.03 | 105677.92 | 114222.21 | 2037 | 158932.05 | 184602.6 | 115015.21 | 152849.96 | |||
| 2040 | 404180.85 | 270326.43 | 94333.53 | 256280.27 | 2047 | 357570.49 | 313305.83 | 180867.21 | 283914.51 | |||
| 2050 | 1006248.89 | 378349.69 | 293089.74 | 559229.44 | 2057 | 804473.69 | 874664.64 | 558494.57 | 745877.64 | |||
| 2060 | 2505157.84 | 1370264.04 | 1061479.24 | 1645633.71 | 2067 | 1809931.03 | 1484472.79 | 947871.86 | 1414091.89 | |||
| 2070 | 6236842.44 | 1917825.66 | 947530.8 | 3034066.3 | 2077 | 4072041.57 | 4144244.13 | 1490576.15 | 3235620.62 | |||
| 2080 | 15527246.64 | 6945763.77 | 2943932.59 | 8472314.34 | 2087 | 9161411.28 | 7033573.04 | 4602706.6 | 6932563.64 | |||
| 2090 | 38656642.46 | 9721311.78 | 10662001.65 | 19679985.3 | 2097 | 20611640.43 | 19635822.24 | 7811671.32 | 16019711.33 | |||
| 2100 | 96239600.02 | 35207546.04 | 9517449.41 | 46988198.49 | 2107 | 46372737.59 | 33325736.97 | 12284245.89 | 30660906.82 |